The next-session read
Ronan's late-street size has been honest in the cited PLO spots. After passive early action, fast, large pressure arrived with the nut flush or top boat. In the same multiway river shape, fold the dominated flush instead of paying to confirm it.
- Use it here: a single-raised multiway pot, passive early streets, then a fast, large river bet.
- Continue with: nut equity or meaningful blockers, not a dominated flush that only beats bluffs.
- Do not overlearn it: a separate source note records a river bluff-raise. This is selective, not "he never bluffs."
Evidence window: 93 checked hands and notes, August 2016 through December 2025. The newest evidence is more than six months old, so the tendency is marked Archived evidence: retest live.
The receipts
- Hand 77, supporting: after the flop checked through, Ronan bet $500 on the turn and $1,700 quickly on the third-spade river into two players. Hero folded the king-high flush. Ronan later confirmed the nut flush.
- Hand 63, supporting: Ronan potted $520 on Q-8-7 with two spades and later jammed. The source note records top boat at showdown. The missing intervening action stays missing.
- Hand 88, counterexample: Ronan checked back A-7-3, called $200 into $225 on the turn, then raised Hero's $500 river bet to $2,000 with K-T-T-6. The source note labels it a bluff raise.
Why the counterexample belongs beside the read
Without Hand 88, polished copy could quietly turn two value receipts into "always fold." That is not what the evidence says. The useful adjustment is narrower: respect the fast, large bet in the cited passive multiway line, while keeping real blockers and new evidence alive.
What this report refuses to invent
- Hand 77 and Hand 88 are unpaired boards. The report does not call either board paired.
- The suits of K-T-T-6 were not preserved, so no exact blocker claim is made.
- Ninety-three checked hands are not ninety-three examples of this river line.
- No bluff frequency or population percentage is published without a denominator.
- The archived read is not presented as automatically current.
This is the product standard: the useful decision leads, the exact hands remain visible, and the strongest contradiction travels with the conclusion.